Weekly Geophysical: 07 March 2014


Summary of report week: USGS is listing 33 events, EMSC is listing 32 events and GFZ Potsdam is listing 34 events. You can view each of these listings below. There was 1 active category force storms during the week of the report. Max 4 actively erupting volcanoes on any one day out of 6 during the week, over and above the 17 always erupting.
Using converted magnitudes (mb to Mw etc) USGS converts to 70 events and EMSC converts to 84 events. Potsdam events cannot normally be converted as the scale is not always known.

In the news this week

USGS news release 06 March 2014

The United States Geological Survey (USGS) issued a press release yesterday indicating that the magnitude 5.7 earthquake that struck Prague, Oklahoma in 2011 was unintentionally human-induced.

The USGS claims that the magnitude 5.0 earthquake triggered by waste-water injection the previous day “trigger[ed] a cascade of earthquakes, including a larger one, [which] has important implications for reducing the seismic risk from waste-water injection.”

… The 5.7 magnitude quake in Prague followed an injection of waste-water approximately 650 feet away from the Wilzetta fault zone, a complex fault system about 124 miles in length. All three earthquakes exhibited a slip-strike motion, and did so at three different locations, indicating that three separate areas of the fault zone were activated.

Finally they are coming out and saying that not only does water injection under pressure cause quakes, but that it can cause significant quakes.

Lava Erupts From Pacaya Volcano (with short video)

Pacaya volcano, south of Guatemala city, erupted in a fiery show on March 2. An ash plume more than two miles high was accompanied by glowing lava that shot from the mountaintop. Footage shot from a distance shows the dramatic eruption. Credit: Mariela Herrarte

Earthquakes for w/e 07 March 2014

Full details of Mag 6+ earthquakes can be found here but the block details of USGS provided M6+ are shown below.

The listings for each of the main global providers is shown below. All times are in Universal Coordinated Time (UTC) 33 events from USGS (See expanded details if any for links to USGS or in line links for Quake Watch or Google location map)

Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
2014-03-07 21:23, -6.3134, 147.8709, 5.3 mb, 45.5, Estn New Guinea Reg.. P.N.G. (207) {Map}
2014-03-07 16:14, -4.6135, 103.7744, 5.3 mb, 117.6, Sthn Sumatra. Ind. (274) {Map}
2014-03-07 13:22, -28.1787, -176.9392, 5.0 mb, 10.8, Kermadec Islands Rgn (177) {Map}
2014-03-07 10:04, -28.029, -176.8827, 5.5 mwb, 18.1, Kermadec Islands Rgn (177) {Map}
2014-03-07 05:17, -6.252, 151.0092, 5.1 mb, 19.0, New Britain Rgn. P.N.G. (192) {Map}
2014-03-06 10:23, -7.6507, 117.1504, 5.1 mb, 293.4, Bali Sea (278) {F} {Map}
2014-03-06 05:42, 18.5696, 145.5736, 5.4 mb, 208.9, Mariana Islands (216) {Map}
2014-03-06 04:37, -33.3278, -71.3733, 5.3 mb, 58.9, Nr. Coast Of Central Chile (135) {F} {Map}
2014-03-06 03:24, 51.7644, 176.1402, 5.0 mb, 48.3, Rat Isls. Aleutian Islands (6) {T} {Map}
2014-03-06 00:23, -0.0828, 122.9149, 5.0 mb, 135.4, Minahassa Peninsula. Sulawesi (265) {Map}
2014-03-05 22:27, -5.813, 153.9798, 5.5 mwb, 33.0, New Ireland Rgn. P.N.G. (190) {Map}
2014-03-05 17:34, -14.7995, 167.2407, 5.2 mb, 114.2, Vanuatu Islands (186) {Map}
2014-03-05 09:56, -14.7347, 169.8222, 6.3 mwp, 636.8, Vanuatu Islands (186) {Map}
2014-03-05 02:24, 31.383, -119.3551, 5.0 mwr, 2.1, Off W. Coast Of Baja California (47) {F} {Map}
2014-03-04 10:51, -33.5658, -72.0631, 5.7 mwb, 9.4, Off Coast Of Central Chile (134) {F} {Map}
2014-03-04 05:49, 30.8718, 141.008, 5.0 mb, 54.3, Se Of Honshu. Japan (211) {Map}
2014-03-04 02:59, 71.2043, -8.9956, 5.0 mb, 10.0, Jan Mayen Island Rgn (639) {Map}
2014-03-03 16:10, -17.8279, -178.6484, 5.1 mb, 566.0, Fiji Islands Rgn (181) {Map}
2014-03-03 03:17, -33.1013, -71.9255, 5.1 mb, 10.0, Nr. Coast Of Central Chile (135) {F} {Map}
2014-03-03 02:27, 26.2825, 127.3325, 5.2 mb, 56.5, Ryukyu Isls. Japan (238) {F} {Map}
2014-03-02 22:26, 14.3694, -92.8617, 5.0 mb, 43.4, Nr. Coast Of Chiapas. Mexico (69) {Map}
2014-03-02 22:17, 14.3017, -92.9165, 5.8 mwb, 35.0, Nr. Coast Of Chiapas. Mexico (69) {F} {Map}
2014-03-02 20:11, 27.4052, 127.3354, 6.5 mwc, 111.2, Ryukyu Isls. Japan (238) {F}{T} {Map}
2014-03-02 19:38, -6.2964, 154.8738, 5.7 mb, 70.1, Solomon Islands (193) {Map}
2014-03-02 17:03, -45.704, -76.585, 5.6 mb, 17.0, Off Coast Of Sthn Chile (143) {Map}
2014-03-02 16:18, -45.819, -76.6073, 5.1 mb, 28.1, Off Coast Of Sthn Chile (143) {Map}
2014-03-02 15:42, -21.1646, -174.0551, 5.3 mb, 10.0, Tonga Islands (173) {Map}
2014-03-02 11:14, -45.7268, -76.5947, 5.3 mb, 10.0, Off Coast Of Sthn Chile (143) {Map}
2014-03-02 10:12, -45.6939, -76.3901, 5.2 mb, 10.0, Off Coast Of Sthn Chile (143) {Map}
2014-03-02 09:41, 12.4559, -87.7994, 5.0 mb, 70.2, Nr. Coast Of Nicaragua (74) {Map}
2014-03-02 09:37, 12.6286, -87.6371, 6.2 mwc, 72.6, Nr. Coast Of Nicaragua (74) {F} {Map}
2014-03-02 08:50, 0.2669, 126.2858, 5.0 mb, 40.0, Nthn Molucca Sea (266) {Map}
2014-03-01 02:16, 32.2052, -40.2321, 5.2 mb, 10.0, Nthn Mid-Atlantic Ridge (403) {Map}

Mag 6+ events brief details

Magnitude 6.3 Vanuatu Islands

World GlobeWednesday, March 05, 2014 @ 09:56:58 UTC
Location in IRIS Earthquake Browser [→]

  • Location: 14.735°S,  169.822°E
  • Depth: 636.8 km
  • Region: Vanuatu Islands

  • Distances:
    • 262km (162mi) ESE of Sola, Vanuatu
    • 298km (185mi) ENE of Luganville, Vanuatu
    • 368km (228mi) NNE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
    • 735km (456mi) NNE of We, New Caledonia
    • 879km (546mi) WNW of Nadi, Fiji
  • Event ID: usb000n1ex

Magnitude 6.5 Ryukyu Islands. Japan

World GlobeSunday, March 02, 2014 @ 20:11:22 UTC
Location in IRIS Earthquake Browser [→]

  • Location: 27.405°N,  127.335°E
  • Depth: 111.2 km
  • Region: Ryukyu Islands. Japan

  • Distances:
    • 262km (162mi) ESE of Sola, Vanuatu
    • 298km (185mi) ENE of Luganville, Vanuatu
    • 368km (228mi) NNE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
    • 735km (456mi) NNE of We, New Caledonia
    • 879km (546mi) WNW of Nadi, Fiji
  • Event ID: usb000mzmn

Magnitude 6.2 Near Coast Of Nicaragua

World GlobeSunday, March 02, 2014 @ 09:37:56 UTC
Location in IRIS Earthquake Browser [→]

  • Location: 12.629°N,  87.637°W
  • Depth: 72.6 km
  • Region: Near Coast Of Nicaragua

  • Distances:
    • 262km (162mi) ESE of Sola, Vanuatu
    • 298km (185mi) ENE of Luganville, Vanuatu
    • 368km (228mi) NNE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
    • 735km (456mi) NNE of We, New Caledonia
    • 879km (546mi) WNW of Nadi, Fiji
  • Event ID: usb000mzef

All earthquakes in the list and the expanded details (if any) above, are sourced from USGS Links go to the USGS web site but if you are viewing this more than 30 days after the event the web page will not be available unless it was a significant quake.

32 events from EMSC

Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
2014-03-07 21:23, -6.3196, 147.9104, 5.3 mb, 60.0, Estn New Guinea Reg. P.N.G. {Map}
2014-03-07 16:14, -4.4993, 103.8734, 5.3 Mw, 110.0, Sthn Sumatra Ind. {Map}
2014-03-07 13:22, -28.3529, -176.8342, 5.0 mb, 10.0, Kermadec Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-07 10:04, -28.1491, -176.9016, 5.6 Mw, 10.0, Kermadec Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-07 07:40, 2.3361, 66.8409, 5.0 Mw, 10.0, Carlsberg Ridge {Map}
2014-03-06 14:31, -21.4996, -178.7816, 5.0 mb, 550.0, Fiji Rgn {Map}
2014-03-06 10:24, -7.706, 117.1063, 5.0 Mw, 297.0, Bali Sea {Map}
2014-03-06 05:42, 18.6456, 145.6432, 5.4 mb, 200.0, Pagan Reg. N. Mariana Islands {Map}
2014-03-06 04:37, -33.3074, -71.1678, 5.4 mb, 59.0, Rgn Metropolitana Chile {Map}
2014-03-06 03:24, 51.8441, 176.2085, 5.0 mb, 40.0, Rat Islands Aleutian Islands {Map}
2014-03-06 00:23, -0.06, 122.9797, 5.0 mb, 142.0, Sulawesi Ind. {Map}
2014-03-05 22:27, -5.7927, 154.0013, 5.6 Mw, 29.0, Bougainville Rgn P.N.G. {Map}
2014-03-05 17:34, -14.784, 167.305, 5.5 Mw, 110.0, Vanuatu {Map}
2014-03-05 09:56, -14.7619, 169.7926, 6.3 Mw, 648.0, Vanuatu {Map}
2014-03-05 02:24, 31.4064, -119.4784, 5.0 Mw, 10.0, Off W. Coast Of Baja California {Map}
2014-03-04 21:21, -56.6393, -26.5789, 5.0 mb, 100.0, South Sandwich Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-04 10:51, -33.5773, -72.0215, 5.8 Mw, 6.0, Offshore Valparaiso Chile {Map}
2014-03-04 05:49, 30.8246, 141.0879, 5.0 mb, 60.0, Izu Islands Japan Rgn {Map}
2014-03-03 16:10, -17.9341, -178.6114, 5.1 Mw, 567.0, Fiji Rgn {Map}
2014-03-03 03:17, -33.0934, -71.9446, 5.1 Mw, 10.0, Offshore Valparaiso Chile {Map}
2014-03-03 02:27, 26.3649, 127.3052, 5.2 mb, 48.0, Ryukyu Islands Japan {Map}
2014-03-02 22:26, 14.4272, -92.9179, 5.0 mb, 44.0, Offshore Chiapas Mexico {Map}
2014-03-02 22:17, 14.3461, -92.9119, 5.9 Mw, 44.0, Offshore Chiapas Mexico {Map}
2014-03-02 20:11, 27.4782, 127.3294, 6.5 Mw, 110.0, Ryukyu Islands Japan {Map}
2014-03-02 19:38, -6.2839, 154.8714, 5.8 Mw, 69.0, Bougainville Rgn P.N.G. {Map}
2014-03-02 17:03, -45.758, -76.6634, 5.4 Mw, 2.0, Off Coast Of Aisen Chile {Map}
2014-03-02 15:42, -21.4678, -174.1645, 5.1 mb, 10.0, Tonga {Map}
2014-03-02 11:14, -45.8079, -76.7619, 5.2 mb, 10.0, Off Coast Of Aisen Chile {Map}
2014-03-02 10:12, -45.6941, -76.5515, 5.1 mb, 10.0, Off Coast Of Aisen Chile {Map}
2014-03-02 09:41, 12.4517, -87.8054, 5.0 mb, 70.0, Nr. Coast Of Nicaragua {Map}
2014-03-02 09:37, 12.5825, -87.6308, 6.2 Mw, 73.0, Nr. Coast Of Nicaragua {Map}
2014-03-01 02:16, 32.2001, -40.3415, 5.1 mb, 10.0, Nthn Mid Atlantic Ridge {Map}

All earthquakes in the above list are sourced from EMSC. Magnitude 6 and upwards events link directly to the EMSC web site for the event.

34 events from GFZ Potsdam

Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
2014-03-07 21:23, -6.31, 147.91, 5.2 M, 40.0, Estn New Guinea Reg.. P.N.G. {Map}
2014-03-07 16:14, -4.65, 103.74, 5.3 M, 111.0, Sthn Sumatra. Ind. {Map}
2014-03-07 13:22, -28.02, -176.82, 5.0 M, 10.0, Kermadec Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-07 10:04, -28.31, -176.33, 5.7 M, 10.0, Kermadec Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-07 07:40, 2.25, 66.8, 5.0 M, 10.0, Carlsberg Ridge {Map}
2014-03-07 05:57, -15.53, -177.25, 5.3 M, 10.0, Fiji Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-06 23:46, -60.29, -25.43, 5.0 M, 10.0, South Sandwich Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-06 23:24, -6.22, 151.04, 5.1 M, 10.0, New Britain Rgn. P.N.G. {Map}
2014-03-06 05:42, 18.61, 145.75, 5.5 M, 203.0, Mariana Islands {Map}
2014-03-06 04:37, -33.33, -71.08, 5.3 M, 62.0, Nr. Coast Of Central Chile {Map}
2014-03-06 03:24, 51.74, 176.3, 5.1 M, 45.0, Rat Isls. Aleutian Islands {Map}
2014-03-06 00:23, -0.08, 122.94, 5.1 M, 143.0, Minahassa Peninsula. Sulawesi {Map}
2014-03-05 22:27, -5.72, 154.01, 5.5 M, 37.0, Solomon Islands {Map}
2014-03-05 17:34, -14.8, 167.28, 5.5 M, 107.0, Vanuatu Islands {Map}
2014-03-05 09:56, -14.75, 169.8, 6.3 M, 641.0, Vanuatu Islands {Map}
2014-03-04 21:21, -56.55, -26.54, 5.0 M, 89.0, South Sandwich Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-04 10:51, -33.58, -71.8, 5.8 M, 28.0, Nr. Coast Of Central Chile {Map}
2014-03-04 05:49, 30.78, 141.05, 5.0 M, 47.0, Se Of Honshu. Japan {Map}
2014-03-03 16:10, -17.88, -178.62, 5.2 M, 555.0, Fiji Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-03 03:17, -33.1, -71.86, 5.1 M, 24.0, Nr. Coast Of Central Chile {Map}
2014-03-03 02:27, 26.38, 127.28, 5.0 M, 47.0, Ryukyu Isls. Japan {Map}
2014-03-03 00:32, 14.51, -92.82, 5.0 M, 24.0, Nr. Coast Of Chiapas. Mexico {Map}
2014-03-02 22:26, 14.37, -92.97, 5.1 M, 25.0, Nr. Coast Of Chiapas. Mexico {Map}
2014-03-02 22:17, 14.49, -92.92, 5.9 M, 10.0, Nr. Coast Of Chiapas. Mexico {Map}
2014-03-02 20:11, 27.5, 127.33, 6.4 M, 108.0, Ryukyu Isls. Japan {Map}
2014-03-02 19:38, -6.29, 154.83, 5.8 M, 58.0, Solomon Islands {Map}
2014-03-02 17:03, -45.82, -76.53, 5.0 M, 10.0, Off Coast Of Sthn Chile {Map}
2014-03-02 15:42, -22.06, -174.01, 5.0 M, 10.0, Tonga Islands Rgn {Map}
2014-03-02 11:14, -45.86, -76.68, 5.0 M, 10.0, Off Coast Of Sthn Chile {Map}
2014-03-02 10:12, -45.7, -76.48, 5.2 M, 10.0, Off Coast Of Sthn Chile {Map}
2014-03-02 09:37, 12.67, -87.62, 6.2 M, 72.0, Nr. Coast Of Nicaragua {Map}
2014-03-02 08:52, -42.83, -82.67, 5.1 M, 10.0, W. Chile Rise {Map}
2014-03-01 05:22, 4.33, 126, 5.0 M, 151.0, Talaud Isls. Ind. {Map}
2014-03-01 02:16, 32.21, -40.28, 5.2 M, 10.0, Nthn Mid Atlantic Ridge {Map}

All earthquakes in the above list are sourced from GFZ Potsdam Links on Mag 6 and greater go direct to the GFZ Potsdam web page for the event.

All Magnitudes trend 5+

AllMagnitudes_20140307
(USGS published values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Mag 5.0 to 5.9 magnitudes trend.

M5_Mags_20140307
(USGS converted values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Mag 5.0 to 5.9 published magnitudes this week

M5_MagsCW_Published_20140307
(USGS published values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Mag 5.0 to 5.9 converted magnitudes this week

M5_MagsCW_Converted_20140307
(USGS converted values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Mag 5.0 published/converted comparison

M5CtoPDifference_20140307
(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Mag 6.0 to 6.9 magnitudes trend.
M6_Mags_20140307
(USGS published values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Peaks of Inactivity M6

Shows the days in between Mag 6 band events. Days where a Mag 6 earthquake occurs are zero on the chart.

M6Inactivity_20140307
(USGS published values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

M6Inactivity-104wks_20140307
(USGS published values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Mag 7.0 to 7.9 magnitudes trend.

M7_Mags_20140307
(USGS published values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Peaks of Inactivity M7

Shows the days in between Mag 7 band events. Days where a Mag 7 earthquake occurs are zero on the chart.

M7Inactivity_20140307
(USGS published values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Mag 8.0+ magnitudes trend

M8_Mags_20140307
(USGS published values. Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Earthquake Statistics

QuakeStats_20140307
(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)
(See explanation here.)

Rolling 52 Week M5 Counts and Energy(USGS Published & Calculated)

QS_M5_RollingCE_20140307

Rolling 52 Week M6 Counts and Energy(USGS Published)

QS_M6_RollingCE_20140307

Rolling 52 Week M7 Counts and Energy(USGS Published)

QS_M7_RollingCE_20140307

Rolling 52 Week M8 Counts and Energy(USGS Published)

QS_M8_RollingCE_20140307

Rolling Global Counts -v- Energy(USGS Published)
RollingGlobalCount-v-Energy_20140307

Global Single Magnitude Equivalent

This represents the total energy output of Mag 5+ Published USGS earthquakes, in a rolling 52 week period, summed and converted back to an approximate single magnitude value, i.e. the magnitude of a quake of comparable energy value.
SingleMagnitudeGlobal_20140307
(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Global Single Magnitude Equivalents By Mag Band

SMGlobal_M5-6-7_20140307


Volcanoes

Volcano information gathered from various sources, including the Smithsonian Weekly Volcanic Activity Report from which confirmation of reports is taken. A volcano is only included in the listing if there is significant ash above 1km height (white/steam clouds are not counted) or there is a significant lava flow. Crater incandescence, unless accompanied by the either of the preceding does qualify as an eruption.

Volcano Chart

Volcanoes_20140307
(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Nishinoshima island of the coast of Japan is still growing

nishinoshima_coastlines140228

Volcanoes erupting this week contributing to the chart.

Colima (México)
Dukono (Halmahera Indonesia)
Pacaya  (Guatemala)
Popocatépetl (México)
Shiveluch (Kamchatka. Russia)
Sinabung (Indonesia)

KVERT web page: Kamchatka and the Northern Kuriles volcanoes: Erupting or Restless

Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre advisories

Anchorage VAAC
Australian VAAC
Buenos Aires VAAC
London VAAC
Montréal VAAC
Tokyo VAAC
Toulouse VAAC
Washington VAAC
Wellington VAAC

Aviation Colour Codes


Category 1+ storms

Cat 1+ Storms Chart
CFStorms_ByDuration_20140307
(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

There was 1 active category force storm during the week of the report.

The way these are reported seems to me to be a gross misrepresentation of the facts. This Category force storm is reported as spanning 28th Feb to 6th March suggesting that it was at that force during that period.

Looking at the track data (below the image) however we can see that it actually only touched Cat 1 for one single day spread over two. This is a perfect example of why I show the duration – the reported values and the ‘by day’ – the days on which the storm actually was category force.

I believe that this is the only true representation.

FAXAI Typhoon-1

FAXAI-track_2014-03-07

Date: 28 FEB-06 MAR 2014
Typhoon-1 FAXAI
ADV  LAT    LON      TIME     WIND  PR  STAT
  1   9.00  147.00 02/28/00Z   25     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  1   8.90  147.00 02/28/14Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  2   8.90  148.00 02/28/20Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  3   9.00  149.00 03/01/02Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 3A   8.90  148.90 02/28/12Z   35     - TROPICAL STORM
  4   8.80  149.30 03/28/18Z   35     - TROPICAL STORM
  5   8.60  149.50 03/01/14Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  6   8.90  149.80 03/01/20Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  7   9.30  149.90 03/02/02Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  8   9.80  149.80 03/02/08Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  9   9.90  149.20 03/02/14Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 10   9.60  148.30 03/02/20Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 11  10.50  149.50 03/03/02Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 12  11.20  149.50 03/03/08Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 13  11.70  149.50 03/03/14Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 14  12.50  149.50 03/03/20Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 15  13.60  149.90 03/04/02Z   45     - TROPICAL STORM
 16  14.60  149.80 03/04/08Z   55     - TROPICAL STORM
 17  14.90  149.90 03/04/00Z   55     - TROPICAL STORM
 18  16.70  150.90 03/04/20Z   55     - TROPICAL STORM
 19  17.50  151.20 03/04/12Z   55     - TROPICAL STORM
19A  17.50  151.20 03/04/12Z   65     - TYPHOON-1
 20  18.80  151.70 03/04/18Z   75     - TYPHOON-1
 21  20.00  152.50 03/05/00Z   75     - TYPHOON-1
 22  21.70  154.10 03/05/20Z   60     - TROPICAL STORM
 23  22.50  155.20 03/06/02Z   50     - TROPICAL STORM

Chart by daily category attaiment
CFStorms_ByDay_20140307
(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Comparison of daily category attainment and duration category attaiment
CFStorms_Dur-Day-Compare_20140307
(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Data courtesy of Unisys Weather

The category force storms contributing to the rolling calendar year chart are:

Cyclone 3 SANDRA 07/03/2013 14/03/2013
Cyclone 2 IMELDA 06/04/2013 16/04/2013
Cyclone 1 VICTORIA 09/04/2013 12/04/2013
Hurricane 1 BARBARA 28/05/2013 30/05/2013
Hurricane 1 COSME 23/06/2013 27/06/2013
Typhoon 1 RUMBIA 28/06/2013 02/07/2013
Hurricane 1 DALILA 30/06/2013 07/07/2013
Hurricane 1 ERICK 04/07/2013 09/07/2013
Typhoon 4 SOULIK 07/07/2013 13/07/2013
Hurricane 1 GIL 30/07/2013 07/08/2013
Hurricane 2 HENRIETTE 03/08/2013 11/08/2013
Typhoon 4 UTOR 08/08/2013 14/08/2013
Typhoon 1 TRAMI 17/08/2013 21/08/2013
Typhoon 1 PEWA 18/08/2013 25/08/2013
Hurricane 1 HUMBERTO 08/09/2013 19/09/2013
Hurricane 1 INGRID 12/09/2013 17/09/2013
Hurricane 1 MANUEL 13/09/2013 20/09/2013
Super Typhoon 5 USAGI 16/09/2013 22/09/2013
Typhoon 2 PABUK 21/09/2013 26/09/2013
Typhoon 2 WUTIP 26/09/2013 30/09/2013
Typhoon 2 FITOW 30/09/2013 06/10/2013
Typhoon 4 DANAS 03/10/2013 08/10/2013
Cyclone 5 PHAILIN 09/10/2013 12/10/2013
Typhoon 3 NARI 09/10/2013 15/10/2013
Typhoon 4 WIPHA 10/10/2013 15/10/2013
Super Typhoon 5 FRANCISCO 16/10/2013 25/10/2013
Hurricane 3 RAYMOND 20/10/2013 30/10/2013
Typhoon 4 LEKIMA 20/10/2013 22/10/2013
Typhoon 3 KROSA 29/10/2013 04/11/2013
Super Typhoon 5 HAIYAN 03/11/2013 11/11/2013
Cyclone 1 LEHAR 23/11/2013 28/11/2013
Cyclone 1 MADI 06/12/2013 12/12/2013
Cyclone 4 AMARA 16/12/2013 23/12/2013
Cyclone 5 BRUCE 17/12/2013 24/12/2013
Cyclone 2 CHRISTINE 28/12/2013 30/12/2013
Cyclone 3 BEJISA 29/12/2013 31/12/2013
Cyclone 3 BEJISA 01/01/2014 05/01/2014
Cyclone 4 IAN 05/01/2014 13/01/2014
Cyclone 4 COLIN 09/01/2014 15/01/2014
Cyclone 1 GUITO 18/02/2014 22/02/2014
Typhoon 1 FAXAI 28/02/2014 06/03/2014

Solar Flux and Other Indices

SFU/AP Chart

SFU-APIndices_20140307
(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Being the start of the month the Potsdam AP and other indexes have been updated. Normally these are posted on my Solar Watch blog but I have decided they should posted here in future.

I track the changes in predictions to solar flux and sunspot counts in addition to just graphing the figures. This month shows a huge (comparatively) increase in the prediction curve for both as they keep on pushing the double-peak scenario. It does now look as if there may indeed be a double peak, however I still doubt if it will be anything like the levels they predict.

Note also the rather strange hockey stick type change on the Australian SFU chart. Mmm.

The main chart

Potsdam_Smoothed-SFU-AP_20140303(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

The NASA chart

ssn_predict_l_20140303(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

Flux Prediction Changes

The chart of the changes in prediction over the months for Solar Flux Units
NOAA_Flux_Prediction_Changes_20140303(Click the Image for a larger/clearer version)

The changes in Maximum predicted SFU value of the solar max
NOAA_Max_Flux_Prediction_20140303

The changes in the rate of change of prediction (smaller is an increase in the predicted value)
NOAA_Flux_Prediction_ROC_20140303

Sunspot Prediction Changes

The chart of the changes in prediction over the months for sunspots
NOAA_Sunspot_Prediction_Changes_20140303

The changes in Maximum predicted sunspot value of the solar max
NOAA_Max_Sunspot_Prediction_20140303

The changes in the rate of change of prediction (smaller is an increase in the predicted value)
NOAA_Sunspot_Prediction_ROC_20140303

NOAA/SWPC Charts

sunspot_20140303
Ap_20140303
f10_20140303

KP Indices (Musical Chart)

ql_musiyymm_20140307
Source of this images: Bartels music / 4 solar rot. / GIF Actuellar Monat column

Magnetogram

NGK-Magnetogram_20140307
Source of these images


That concludes the geophysical/solar report of the week ending 07 March 2014.

About PuterMan

A retired programmer.
This entry was posted in AP Index, Category Force Storms, Earthquake, Hurricanes, nanoTeslas, Reports, Science and technology, Solar Flux Units, Volcano, Weekly Geophysical Reports and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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